
Images used in this figure were obtained from Pixabay (https://pixabay.com), free to use under the Pixabay License
For millions of years, plants and animals have evolved in step, timing life cycles to the seasons. Flowers bloom as pollinators arrive; migratory birds reach breeding grounds when food is abundant. That synchrony is starting to break down. As the climate warms, plants are adjusting seasonal behaviors faster than animals — creating mismatches that threaten key ecological interactions.
A major study published in Nature Ecology & Evolution reveals that the seasonal timing of life cycle events— known as phenology — is diverging between plants and animals, posing growing risks to ecosystems worldwide.
Led by Dr. Weiguang Lang from Peking University, in collaboration with Professor Josep Peñuelas from CREAF and CSIC (Spain), and Professor Ivan Janssens from the University of Antwerp (Belgium), the study analyzes nearly 500,000 records from around the globe, making it the most comprehensive assessment of phenological shifts to date.
The study finds that climate change does not affect all species equally. Plants are accelerating their seasonal rhythms — leafing, flowering, and fruiting earlier in response to warming — while animals are shifting more slowly and less consistently, increasing temporal mismatch in nature’s calendar.
Using more than 42 years of field data (1980–2022), the team compiled 470,337 phenological time series from over 2,500 plant and animal species across Europe, Asia, and North America. The database includes first flowering dates in temperate forests, insect emergence, bird migration, and amphibian activity.
“We’re seeing an increasing temporal divergence — plants are changing faster than animals. In many ecosystems, these shifts can disrupt ecological interactions like pollination, seed dispersal, and predator-prey dynamics”, explains Dr. Lang.
One key finding is that later-season plant events (for example, fruiting and senescence) are advancing even faster than earlier events (such as budburst and flowering). Researchers attribute this partly to a “carryover effect,” where one seasonal event triggers or alters the timing of the next, producing a cascade of phenological acceleration.
By contrast, animal phenology is more decoupled. Some animals — notably many insects and amphibians — are responding to warming by extending their active seasons. Others, particularly birds and mammals, show weaker or more variable trends, possibly due to behavioral buffering, migratory constraints, or reliance on cues other than temperature.
These timing mismatches have real-world consequences for biodiversity, food webs, and ecosystem functioning. “Imagine a pollinator emerging after a plant has already flowered, or a migratory bird arriving too late to find its usual food,” says Professor Josep Peñuelas, co-author and researcher at CREAF and the Spanish National Research Council (CSIC). “These mismatches can reduce survival and reproductive success and, over time, destabilize entire ecological communities.”
The study also shows that the rate and direction of phenological change vary by region, with more pronounced shifts in temperate and boreal ecosystems. This divergence could amplify climate impacts on already stressed systems, with consequences ranging from reduced crop pollination and impaired forest regeneration to cascading biodiversity loss.
“We tend to think of climate change in terms of temperature and sea level, but time is just as critical,”. “The fact that species are no longer responding in unison is a red flag. Nature is built on relationships, and those relationships are now at risk”, highlights Prof. Shilong Piao leader of the Peking University and Chinese Academy of Sciences group.
The growing mismatch between plants and animals highlights the urgent need to integrate phenological data into conservation planning, habitat management, and climate models. Accounting for the timing of natural events is essential for monitoring biodiversity and responding to global environmental challenges. Incorporating phenology into these efforts is a crucial step toward safeguarding ecosystems and improving their resilience in a rapidly changing climate.
Reference
Lang,
W., Zhang, Y., Li, X., Meng, F., Liu, Q., Wang, K., Xu, H., Chen, A., Peñuelas,
J., Janssens, I.A., Piao, S. 2024. Phenological divergence between plants and
animals under climate change. Nature Ecology & Evolution. Doi:
10.1038/s41559-024-02597-0.







